2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that’s nailed 17 majors

The 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs begin Thursday at 8:10 a.m. ET with the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings are in the field, with the top 50 from this no-cut event advancing to the BMW Championship. The purse is $20 million and points are quadrupled compared to standard PGA events, so the standings can shift dramatically based on the outcome. Visit our DraftKings promo code review and get $150 in bonus bets instantly when you bet $5:

Scottie Scheffler is the favorite this week at +500 (risk $100 to win $500) in the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Other top PGA contenders this week include Rory McIlroy (+1500), Xander Schauffele (+1800). Scheffler and McIlroy are paired for a 9:30 a.m. ET start time. Before locking in any 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters — its fifth Masters in a row — as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. 

Now that the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

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2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for: Cameron Young, one of the favorites at +2000, barely cracks the top 10. Young was one of the hottest players on tour in the spring, but has largely cooled off in the past several events. Outside of his runner-up finish at the Open Championship, he has just one other top-10 since May 17. He finished fifth in this last year, but otherwise hasn’t cracked the top 30 in three other tries, so the model is fading him as a top win contender. See who else to fade here. 

Another surprise: The model is high on Sam Burns at +2000, saying he’s a contender and a string top-5 bet. Burns has been right on the doorstep at some of the biggest events of the year, finishing T7 or better at the Masters, the Memorial, the U.S. Open and the Open Championship. He ranks 12th on tour in the strokes gained: total and third in strokes gained: putting, both metrics that make him a top contender at TPC Southwind this week. See who else to pick here. 

How to make 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks

The model is also targeting a massive longshot of around +4500 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. You can only see the model’s picks here. 

Who will win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, field

Get full 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +500
Rory McIlroy +1500
Xander Schauffele +1800
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Cameron Young +2000
Sam Burns +2000
Collin Morikawa +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Matt Fitzpatrick +2700
Ludvig Åberg +3000
Si Woo Kim +3000
Justin Thomas +3000
Viktor Hovland +3300
Chris Gotterup +3300
Patrick Cantlay +3300
Russell Henley +3500
Jackson Koivun +4000
Robert MacIntyre +4500
Wyndham Clark +4500
Tom Kim +4500
Michael Brennan +4500
J.J. Spaun +4500
Michael Thorbjornsen +5000
Ben Griffin +5000
Ryan Gerard +5500
Min Woo Lee +5500
Justin Rose +6000
Aaron Rai +6000
Maverick McNealy +6000
Rickie Fowler +6000
Akshay Bhatia +6000
Kurt Kitayama +6500
Shane Lowry +6500
Alex Fitzpatrick +6500
Alex Smalley +7000
Sungjae Im +7000
Bud Cauley +8000
Jacob Bridgeman +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
Jake Knapp +8000
Adam Scott +8000
Corey Conners +10000
Ryan Fox +10000
Jordan Spieth +10000
Eric Cole +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Nicolai Højgaard +10000
Harris English +10000
J.T. Poston +10000
Jordan Smith +10000
Kristoffer Reitan +10000
Ryo Hisatsune +12500
Brian Harman +12500
Michael Kim +12500
Sahith Theegala +12500
Harry Hall +12500
Nico Echavarria +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Matt McCarty +17500
Ricky Castillo +17500
Max Homa +17500
Nick Taylor +17500
Samuel Stevens +17500
Sepp Straka +17500
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500
Matti Schmid +25000
Pierceson Coody +25000
Aldrich Potgieter +35000
Patrick Rodgers +75000