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Updated on: October 25, 2026 / 10:38 AM EDT / CBS News

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Call it the "avoidance" election, with many on each side more motivated by trying to prevent or stop things than by what they'll gain.

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Against a backdrop of continued concern about inflation and the economy, Democrats maintain their lead in a bid for a House majority. They're currently on pace for 229 seats in our CBS News House model estimate, which translates voters' congressional preferences into seats.

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The potential range of outcomes could reach into the 230s in our model, but Republicans do still have a very narrow path to hold the majority, too.

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While that Democratic lead has been durable over recent weeks, it hasn't expanded, either.

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In other words, there isn't a growing wave, at least not as of today.

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If anything, the still undecided or uncertain voters tend to profile as more Republican.

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Whether they decide to show up is perhaps the key question of 2026.

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Either way, voters describe a dynamic in which they're more motivated in opposition to things they think might happen. For instance:

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More think gas prices will go up if Republicans win than if Democrats do.

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(Though they don't think…

Original source: https://www.cbsnews.com/moneywatch/

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