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Updated on: October 25, 2026 / 10:38 AM EDT / CBS News
\n\nCall it the "avoidance" election, with many on each side more motivated by trying to prevent or stop things than by what they'll gain.
\n\nAgainst a backdrop of continued concern about inflation and the economy, Democrats maintain their lead in a bid for a House majority. They're currently on pace for 229 seats in our CBS News House model estimate, which translates voters' congressional preferences into seats.
\n\nThe potential range of outcomes could reach into the 230s in our model, but Republicans do still have a very narrow path to hold the majority, too.
\n\nWhile that Democratic lead has been durable over recent weeks, it hasn't expanded, either.
\n\nIn other words, there isn't a growing wave, at least not as of today.
\n\nIf anything, the still undecided or uncertain voters tend to profile as more Republican.
\n\nWhether they decide to show up is perhaps the key question of 2026.
\n\nEither way, voters describe a dynamic in which they're more motivated in opposition to things they think might happen. For instance:
\n\nMore think gas prices will go up if Republicans win than if Democrats do.
\n\n(Though they don't think…
Original source: https://www.cbsnews.com/moneywatch/
