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Gulf oil exporters topped prewar levels ​for about half of September, new shipping data showed on Monday, though attacks on tankers and logistical constraints cloud the outlook for ‌sustained higher flows.

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Ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz face a “heightened and increasingly unpredictable kinetic threat” given the recent sharp increase in traffic, Marisks, a shipping intelligence service, said on Saturday.

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The seven-day moving average for crude exports from the region was 18.3 million barrels per day on September 30, provisional data from Kpler showed, with volumes topping pre-war levels on 14 days in September.

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That included Gulf oil ​sent Hormuz, via the Red Sea, and from terminals and ship-to-ship transfers in the Gulf of Oman.

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Shipments had earlier matched or exceeded prewar levels on a handful of ​days in June and July, Kpler data showed, after Washington and Tehran reached a memorandum of understanding that has since ⁠lapsed.

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Crude exports from the region averaged about 18 million bpd in the 12 months before the start of the US-Israeli war with Iran, according to Kpler.

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The recent export surge has ​been driven by Saudi Arabia loading from both the Red Sea and the Gulf, three weeks after a September 10 attack…

Original source: https://www.nbcnews.com/business

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